In reply to FAM22.
I’m not trying to defend Mike Tomlin’s playoff performance since 2017, but most NFL coaches are fired because they fail to win enough regular-season games, meaning they never even reach the postseason. In that sense, Tomlin’s streak of never having a losing season in 19 years does matter—he has a career regular-season record of 193–114–2, ranking among the top ten all-time in wins (and still extending the Steelers’ historic non‑losing run). That consistency is rare; only legends like Tom Landry and Bill Belichick have matched or exceeded such durability. However, his playoff record of 8–11, with no wins since 2016 and seven straight postseason losses, is undeniably disappointing, especially given the talent during the 3B era. And for comparison: Belichick without Tom Brady has hovered around a .45 win percentage—83–101 by one count, 83–104 by another—covering his Cleveland years, the 2008 Cassel season, the 2016 suspension starts without Brady, and the entire 2020–2023 post‑Brady stretch in New England; in that most recent four‑year window alone he went 29–38 with just one playoff appearance. In other words, Tomlin’s regular‑season stability stacks up favorably against the league at large, and when you isolate Belichick’s non‑Brady sample, it underscores how hard sustained winning is without elite quarterback play—yet the bar in Pittsburgh remains January success, where Tomlin trails the gold standard. This is purely an empirical assessment of his era. I do not buy arguments such as “culture change” or “message is stale”; the fact is that future success depends not only on a new coach but also on getting a franchise QB and other roster elements. Ultimately, it is the owner’s decision to make a change. We’re all just Monday‑morning HCs and QBs with enough time to write opinions about things we probably don’t know enough about.
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