Playoff Scenarios: Who Will Steelers Face With Win over Texans?
Pittsburgh Steelers OT Troy Fautanu
Pittsburgh Steelers offensive tackle Troy Fautanu blocks during a preseason game against the Houston Texans on Aug. 10, 2024. -- Ed Thompson / Steelers Now

The Pittsburgh Steelers will host the Houston Texans in the Wild Card round of the 2025 NFL playoffs on Monday night, looking to snap a six-game playoff losing streak that dates back to the 2016 season.

Winning would mean an awful lot to a franchise that hasn’t done much of it in the postseason recently, but what would would it mean in terms of the next week?

There are three several scenarios for the Steelers in terms of round two opponents, should they beat the Texans. 

Of the other six teams in the AFC playoffs, the Steelers can potentially face five of them in the second round. Here are the meaningful scenarios:

Pittsburgh Steelers OLB Alex Highsmith
Pittsburgh Steelers outside linebacker Alex Highsmith warms up before a game against the Denver Broncos on Sept. 15, 2024. — Alan Saunders / Steelers Now

Both higher seeds win — Steelers at Broncos

If the Jacksonville Jaguars and New England Patriots hold serve in their home games against the Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Chargers, then the Steelers would travel to visit the No. 1-seeded Denver Broncos in the Divisional Round.

Steelers Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth runs a route against the New England Patriots on Sept. 21, 2025. — Ed Thompson / Steelers Now

Bills & Patriots win — Steelers at Patriots

If the Bills win against the Jags — which would hardly be a surprise — and the Patriots win at home, then the Steelers would instead head to Foxborough, Mass. for the second time this season. The Steelers beat the Patriots in Week 3, 21-14.

Steelers Kaleb Johnson
Pittsburgh Steelers running back Kaleb Johnson in a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Aug. 9, 2025 — Ed Thompson / Steelers Now

Chargers & Jaguars win — Steelers at Jaguars

On the other hand, if it’s the Chargers upsetting the Patriots, while the Jaguars beat the Bills, the Steelers will travel to Jacksonville to face the Jaguars in the second round. The Steelers played a preseason game in Jacksonville this August and last faced the Jaguars in the regular season in 2023 — a 20-10 Jaguars win in Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Steelers Buffalo Bills
Pittsburgh Steelers defensive back Jalen Ramsey tackles Buffalo Bills wide receiver Khalil Shakir on Nov. 30, 2025. — Ed Thompson / Steelers Now

Both lower seeds win — Bills at Steelers

The only way the Steelers can get a home game in the second round also involves them playing the team that nobody wants to face in the AFC playoffs — Josh Allen and the Bills, who beat the Steelers 26-7 in Week 13.

2025 AFC PLAYOFF SCHEDULE

Sunday, Jan. 11

No. 6 Buffalo Bills at No. 3 Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m., CBS
No. 7 Los Angeles Chargers at No. 2 New England Patriots, 8 p.m. NBC (WPXI)

Monday, Jan. 12

No. 5 Houston Texans at No. 4 Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:15 p.m., ESPN/ABC

Bye

No. 1 Denver Broncos

This article originally appeared on Steelers Now: Playoff Scenarios: Who Will Steelers Face With Win over Texans?

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