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Toronto's population is officially shrinking — Here's where everyone is moving to
For the first time in years, the population of Toronto is shrinking. After years of steady growth capped off by record-high gains, Toronto's population has suddenly gone into reverse.The latest population numbers from Statistics Canada released last week show that Canada's biggest city has officially lost people — not just slowed down in growth, but actually declined. And it's not just a blip.Between July 2024 and July 2025, the population of the Toronto census metropolitan area (CMA) — which includes the City of Toronto as well as various other parts of the GTA — dropped by 992 people. READ ALSO: These are Canada's cheapest places to live with the best quality of life in 2025That might not sound like much for a region with over 7.1 million residents, but it marks only the second time since at least 2001 that Toronto didn't grow year-over-year. The only other time? During the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic.It's also the biggest net population loss of any metro area in the country last year. In fact, it's one of only two CMAs to record a population drop in 2025, the other being Kamloops, B.C., which shrank by 259 people.So what's going on, and where are Torontonians all going? It's not about births or immigration The city isn't losing residents because fewer people are being born or coming from abroad. In fact, it's kind of the opposite.According to Statistics Canada, births in the Toronto CMA actually hit their highest level since 2019-2020, marking a five-year high. Immigration was also strong, landing above pre-pandemic levels from 2018-2019, even if it cooled off compared to the record-breaking surge of the past three years.But those gains were no match for what was happening on the other side of the ledger.The Toronto CMA recorded the highest level of net emigration since data collection at this level began in 2001. At the same time, it also saw its largest-ever loss of non-permanent residents. So yes, Toronto still recorded a net-positive gain from international migration in 2025. But at just 53,397 people, it was the smallest net gain in this category since comparable data became available more than two decades ago. For some perspective, the previous year smashed records with a net gain of 339,801 through international migration — more than six times higher than the 2025 total.In other words, people are still being born here and newcomers are still arriving. They're just no longer enough to offset how many people are leaving — not to mention those heading to other parts of Canada...Toronto is losing people to the rest of CanadaA huge piece of the story here is migration within the country — and no city is feeling it more than Toronto. In 2024-2025, the Toronto CMA lost a whopping 77,492 people to internal migration. That's more than the entire population of Fredericton, New Brunswick.That includes folks moving to another part of Ontario or packing up for a different province altogether. It's the largest internal migration loss of any metro area in the country — and by a massive margin.Toronto saw the highest losses from both people moving within the province and those moving to other provinces. Montreal was a distant second on both fronts.This trend isn't exactly new, but it's getting harder to ignore. So even with more babies being born and newcomers arriving from abroad, it’s clear a growing number of people are finding reasons to leave. For many, life elsewhere in Canada is looking a lot more sustainable — or at least more affordable — than what Toronto currently offers.So, where are people going? Turns out, a lot of Torontonians aren't going far — but the ones who do are heading clear across the country.The top destination for former Toronto residents is Oshawa (which has its own CMA and isn't counted in Toronto's numbers), with 11,797 more people moving there from Toronto than moved the opposite way in a single year. Right behind it was Hamilton, with a net gain of 10,765 people from Toronto.But beyond the GTHA,…

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